The Oscar Fog Lifts
January 28th, 2008 | 10:25 am est |
With the Directors Guild of America and the Screen Actors Guild handing out their year-end awards over the weekend, those of you betting in your office Academy Award pools should be just about ready to go. The DGA and the SAG awards are traditionally two of the most reliable Oscar predictors, so rest assured that Daniel Day-Lewis is a mortal lock to win the Oscar (quite deservingly) for There Will Be Blood. Javier Bardem is a heavy favorite to take home the Best Supporting Actor Academy statuette, although there is a slim slim chance of Hal Holbrook pulling off an upset. Julie Christie is also a safe bet to take home the Best Actress award on February 24, but if anyone pulls off the surprise it just might be Ellen Page. Best supporting actress is still a tough call. After her surprise win last night you have to think Ruby Dee has a slight edge, but Amy Ryan won every critics award and Cate Blanchett is revered (although she has won recently which works against her this year).
The Coen Brothers snagged the award from the Directors Guild making them a huge favorite to take home the Oscar. The winner of that award takes home the Academy Award over 90% of the time. And since best director and Best Picture go hand in hand more often than not, No Country for Old Men seems at this point to be the odds on favorite for that prize. Only There Will Be Blood, which is the only film this year to successfully run an old-school prestige-pic Oscar campaign, could manage to take it away. Either way, a genuinely worthy film will take home the big prize






I drink your milkshake.
Draaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaainage!